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Forex - NZD/USD, AUD/NZD Flows - RBNZ approaching


 18:45 (GMT) 10 Mar

  [Forex Flows]

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NZD/USD, AUD/NZD Flows - RBNZ approaching (HCLC2001)

Kiwi is higher so far on the day to extend yesterday's gains. NZD/USD is settling above 0.7050 from highs of 0.7098 while AUD/NZD is hovering around lows of 1.2929. We doubt the price action on the Kiwi will remain this quiet into the close, with the RBNZ due to make their rates announcement at 20:00gmt. Here we look for the Bank to maintain that rates will rise "around the middle of 2010" which could be NZD supportive though there are risks to the dovish side to be cautious of (Search: RBNZ + Preview). SI


Forex - EUR/USD, GBP/USD Flows - Still struggling for momentum


 17:30 (GMT) 10 Mar

 [Forex Flows]

Sell USD at the fix, then call it a day? Looks to be the case at this point as EUR/USD and Cable topped out at 16:00gmt before falling back. Equities paring gains helped USD to take back some ground broadly, except vs the JPY, but overall the market is still reluctant to run with any momentum. Coverage of Greek PM comments saying EU would intervene if borrowing costs don't fall in the free market is not attracting much attention while equities set direction. SI


Forex - EUR/USD, GBP/USD Flows - last data release of a busy day fails to inspire


 15:05 (GMT) 10 Mar

 [Forex Flows]

US wholesale inventories are lower than expected but not featuring very highly on FX traders' radar. EUR/USD remains cemented in its range, while Cable is still short of a close above the 1.4940 level that would likely relieve some of the downside pressure. PB


Forex - USD/JPY, EUR/JPY Flows - Small splash from BoJ story


 12:10 (GMT) 10 Mar

 [Forex Flows]

As our colleague Ben Levett wrote earlier, the Reuters source story about a possible BoJ ease at the monetary policy meeting next week is plausible, if only because they do need to roll over their 3 month opps! But though the impact has been to see a weaker JPY, it is perhaps a little bit of a surprise that Reuters didn't make more of a splash with it! At the same time we also note reports of exporter offers beginning at 90.50, and becoming larger nearer to 91, and on this basis, we may need somewhat more of a catalyst to keep the rate moving. In the meantime more important from a technical point of view is the 90.68 March 8 high, and a break of that could well trigger stoploss buy orders. C.F.


Forex - EUR/GBP, GBP/USD Flows - Bounce reversed as IndProd disappoints


 09:32 (GMT) 10 Mar

 [Forex Flows]

GBP made up all the losses from the European open ahead of the IndProd data, but surprise fall there has reversed it again. The weather (and a strong December) are getting the blame, but no one needs much reason to sell GBP just now. PB


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