Forex - Preview: due 15 Nov - US Oct CPI

 14:22 (GMT) 14 Nov

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Preview: due 15 Nov - US Oct CPI (0100-TYXR-C01)

We expect a 0.1% increase in Oct CPI, to correct a 0.5% rise in Sep when gasoline was inflated by the aftermath of recent hurricanes. Gasoline prices are off recent highs, but seasonal adjustments will keep the decline in energy modest at 0.9%. Food should rise by a marginal 0.1%. The strong PPI has few implications for the CPI.

Preview: due 15 Nov - US Oct CPI (0100-TYXR-C02)

Ex food and energy we expect a 0.2% increase. This would be only the second month to reach 0.2% since Feb, though before rounding the rise should be only 0.16%. The slight pick-up from Sep's 0.13% we expect will be due more to the absence of negatives rather than any real strength. Two components that were negative in Sep, apparel and medical care, are often swing components and we do not expect a repeat in Oct.

Preview: due 15 Nov - US Oct CPI (0100-TYXR-C03)

Yr/yr core CPI should remain at 1.7% for the sixth straight month. Overall yr/yr CPI should slip to 2.0% from 2.2%, slower but above the core for the third straight month.

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